Incorporating climate change risk management into mitigation and adaptation strategies in urban areas

Abstract

A 10-year prediction of changes in climatic parameters in Tehran metropolis which is faced with increasing environmental issues shows that, by 2021, temperature and precipitation will increase with a steeper slope in comparison to the past. In this study, 14 urban environmental risks raised by changes in temperature and precipitation were identified. Then, the risks were quantified and prioritized using climate change risk assessment method and AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) rendered by Expert Choice software. Finally, several strategies were provided for mitigating impacts and making adaptation to changes of climatic parameters. Results showed that defensive strategies were the optimal strategies.